Nice vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
39.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
LMU
2 - 1
NIC
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
ASN
1 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
NIC
3 - 1
NIO
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
ASB
1 - 0
NIC
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
NIC
2 - 0
NÎM
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
CHA
4 - 2
LHA
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
STR
2 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
CHA
2 - 0
AMI
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
FCG
2 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
CHA
0 - 2
AJA
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |