Nice vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
GIR
0 - 0
NIC
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 1
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
NIC
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 0
TFC
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 0
NIC
29%
26%
46%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
REI
0 - 1
BAS
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 0
TRO
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
BAS
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 0
LYO
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
BAS
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |