Nice vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
12%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1992 |
MAS
1 - 2
NIC
12%
22%
67%
|
74 | 14 | 60 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
NIC
1 - 0
VAL
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1991 |
NIC
0 - 1
MAR
24%
29%
48%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1991 |
GIR
3 - 0
NIC
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1991 |
NIC
1 - 1
NAN
45%
28%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1992 |
BAS
2 - 0
TFC
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1992 |
MEZ
0 - 1
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
61 | 8 | 53 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
TFC
3 - 1
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1986 |
PSG
3 - 1
BAS
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1986 |
BAS
2 - 2
ASN
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |