Nice vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
LYO
5 - 2
NIC
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
NIC
2 - 2
SOC
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
LEN
2 - 0
NIC
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
NIC
1 - 1
TRO
78%
14%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1973 |
KOL
4 - 0
NIC
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
BAS
1 - 0
REN
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
GIR
3 - 1
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
BAS
3 - 2
ASN
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
ASS
2 - 0
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
BAS
0 - 1
NAN
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |