Nice vs Bastia analysis


76	ELO	72
3.9%	Tilt	-7%
120º	General ELO ranking	1379º
8º	Country ELO ranking	31º
ELO win probability

65.8%

Nice

17.2%

Draw

17%

Bastia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

65.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%

17.2%

Draw

0-0

2%

1-1

6.8%

2-2

5.7%

3-3

2.2%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

17.2%

17%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-2%

+6%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches