Europa League 1/32
Global 3-2
Nice vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
MET
2 - 0
NIC
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
NIC
3 - 0
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1973 |
BAS
1 - 0
NIC
52%
24%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1973 |
NIC
4 - 1
LYO
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1973 |
SOC
0 - 1
NIC
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
CEL
2 - 1
FCB
39%
30%
32%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
FCB
0 - 0
RAC
73%
17%
9%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
ELC
1 - 0
FCB
31%
31%
39%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
FCB
1 - 0
SEV
75%
15%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1973 |
SEV
3 - 1
FCB
32%
28%
40%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |