Nice vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GIR
0 - 1
NIC
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
NIC
0 - 1
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
TFC
1 - 1
NIC
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
NIC
0 - 3
PSG
10%
17%
73%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
NAN
1 - 2
NIC
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
AUX
0 - 2
PFC
43%
29%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
AUX
2 - 0
BEZ
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
AUX
1 - 2
LEN
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
TRO
1 - 0
AUX
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
AUX
0 - 0
AJA
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |