Nice vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
REN
3 - 1
NIC
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 0
LOR
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 3
NIC
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 1
MAR
17%
24%
58%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SOC
2 - 0
NIC
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AUX
1 - 1
PSG
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LYO
2 - 1
AUX
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AUX
2 - 0
VAL
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 0
AUX
43%
29%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AUX
0 - 2
ETG
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |