Nice vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
42.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 1
NIC
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
NIC
0 - 0
NAN
34%
29%
38%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
PSG
3 - 1
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
NIC
0 - 1
CAE
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
LEN
0 - 0
NIC
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
AUX
0 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2005 |
AUX
2 - 1
NÎM
74%
18%
8%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2005 |
GIR
0 - 0
AUX
40%
28%
33%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
AUX
3 - 2
TFC
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
AUX
0 - 3
LYO
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |