Nice vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
40.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1985 |
MAR
2 - 1
NIC
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1985 |
NIC
0 - 0
STL
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1985 |
GIR
1 - 0
NIC
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1982 |
VAL
0 - 0
NIC
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1982 |
NIC
1 - 2
ASN
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1985 |
LHA
3 - 3
AUX
35%
25%
41%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1985 |
AUX
2 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 1985 |
STL
0 - 0
AUX
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1985 |
STR
1 - 1
AUX
36%
29%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1985 |
AUX
1 - 0
RAC
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |