Nice vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
PSG
1 - 1
NIC
78%
15%
8%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
NIC
3 - 1
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
ASS
2 - 0
NIC
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1982 |
NIC
1 - 0
SOC
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
MET
1 - 0
NIC
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
AUX
0 - 1
NAN
35%
25%
39%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
AUX
3 - 0
SOC
38%
24%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
BRE
2 - 2
AUX
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1982 |
AUX
1 - 1
LEN
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
PSG
2 - 1
AUX
75%
14%
11%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |