Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 1-2
Nice vs Apollon Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 0
NIC
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
APO
2 - 0
NIC
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 1
REN
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LYO
4 - 0
NIC
63%
21%
17%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
NIC
0 - 0
ATH
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
APO
2 - 0
NIC
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
APO
1 - 0
APO
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
AEL
1 - 2
APO
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
APO
1 - 3
AEL
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
DOX
1 - 1
APO
26%
27%
48%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |