Nice vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
SED
3 - 0
NIC
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
NIC
0 - 0
REN
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
AUX
0 - 2
NIC
62%
23%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
NIC
1 - 0
MON
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
LYO
2 - 2
NIC
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 2
LHA
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
GIR
1 - 0
AJA
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2002 |
MON
3 - 2
AJA
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 0
AUX
25%
29%
46%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
REN
0 - 0
AJA
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |