Nice vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
REI
1 - 2
NIC
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
NIC
1 - 1
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1971 |
ANG
1 - 1
NIC
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1971 |
NIC
1 - 1
NAN
41%
26%
34%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1971 |
LYO
2 - 1
NIC
61%
22%
16%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 2
REN
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
LIL
3 - 1
AJA
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 1
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1971 |
AJA
3 - 0
MON
55%
26%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1971 |
ASN
3 - 1
AJA
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |