Nice vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
15%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1968 |
MET
1 - 2
NIC
45%
25%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1968 |
LIL
0 - 2
NIC
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1968 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASA
64%
20%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1968 |
FCR
1 - 0
NIC
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1968 |
VAL
0 - 1
NIC
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1968 |
AJA
5 - 3
FCR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1968 |
NAN
1 - 0
AJA
76%
14%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
AJA
3 - 0
GIR
42%
23%
35%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
LEN
1 - 2
AJA
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
AJA
1 - 1
ASS
26%
22%
52%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |