Nice Sub 19 vs Marignane Gignac Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92%
Win probability
3.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.7%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.1%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.9%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.8%
2.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+1900%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
9º
9º
36
6º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
NIC
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NIC
4 - 1
MON
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +3 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
NIC
2 - 3
OLY
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
NIC
8%
14%
78%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 2
IST
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MGG
1 - 2
MON
4%
9%
88%
|
6 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BEZ
3 - 2
MGG
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | -1 |