Nice Sub 19 vs Colomiers Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
13º
11º
33
7º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
NIC
25%
22%
52%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 0
AJA
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BEZ
1 - 1
NIC
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 1
MON
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
NIC
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Colomiers Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
ABE
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
COL
3 - 2
ETI
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 1
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |