Nice U19 vs Bastia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
9º
9º
29
8º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 0
NIC
22%
21%
58%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
NIC
2 - 2
ETI
41%
23%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 1
NIC
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NIC
2 - 0
ROD
74%
14%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
NIC
69%
17%
15%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 2
BEZ
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
BAS
54%
22%
23%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 2
OLY
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 1
BAS
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MGG
2 - 3
BAS
16%
18%
67%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |