Nice U19 vs Bastia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
13º
11º
34
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 0
NIC
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NIC
4 - 1
BEZ
66%
17%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
NIC
48%
23%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 1
MON
12%
18%
70%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +5 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
OLY
3 - 0
NIC
42%
23%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Bastia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
ABE
31%
21%
48%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
BAS
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 0
COL
23%
24%
52%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ETI
0 - 0
BAS
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 0
BAS
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |