Nice Sub 19 vs Ajaccio Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
13º
11º
41
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BEZ
1 - 1
NIC
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 1
MON
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
NIC
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
NIC
2 - 2
BLA
84%
10%
6%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
IST
0 - 0
NIC
28%
21%
51%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AJA
3 - 3
ABE
61%
20%
20%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 3
AJA
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 1
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ETI
0 - 0
AJA
62%
20%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BEZ
3 - 2
AJA
37%
22%
41%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |