Nice U19 vs Air Bel Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
13º
11º
33
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
NIC
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NIC
4 - 4
COL
58%
22%
21%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
NIC
25%
22%
52%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 0
AJA
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BEZ
1 - 1
NIC
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Air Bel Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
ETI
17%
19%
64%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAN
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
ABE
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 2
BAS
65%
18%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AJA
3 - 3
ABE
61%
20%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |