Nice II vs Mandelieu LN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CBL
1 - 2
NIC
47%
22%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 1
MAR
55%
21%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
NIC
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
NIC
0 - 2
SCR
43%
23%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
NIC
1 - 0
AJA
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mandelieu LN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
USM
1 - 2
GAZ
8%
16%
76%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
SCR
5 - 2
USM
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
USM
0 - 2
CBL
13%
18%
68%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 1
USM
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
USM
0 - 5
VIL
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |