Nice II vs Rodez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FCM
1 - 0
NIC
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAN
3 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LEP
0 - 0
NIC
47%
26%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NIC
2 - 0
TAR
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MON
2 - 3
NIC
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rodez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PAU
0 - 1
ROD
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ROD
2 - 1
FCM
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 2
ROD
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ROD
1 - 1
LEP
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ROD
3 - 2
CON
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |