Nice II vs US Le Pontet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 3
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HYE
2 - 4
NIC
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 1
SÈT
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
OLY
3 - 0
NIC
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ROD
1 - 3
NIC
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
US Le Pontet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LEP
0 - 1
SÈT
27%
28%
45%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
LEP
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LEP
0 - 1
BEZ
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
LEP
44%
25%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LEP
2 - 2
MON
33%
26%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |