Nice II vs Pontarlier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MOA
1 - 0
NIC
61%
21%
17%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
NIC
0 - 3
MON
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
JUR
1 - 1
NIC
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 2
HYE
26%
27%
47%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ANN
5 - 2
NIC
74%
16%
9%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Pontarlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
PON
0 - 2
FCM
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
GRA
2 - 1
PON
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
PON
1 - 2
SPO
25%
28%
47%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
PON
2 - 1
OLY
29%
26%
46%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
PON
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |