Nice II vs Montpellier II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MOA
1 - 0
NIC
33%
26%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
3 - 2
LEP
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 3
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HYE
2 - 4
NIC
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 1
SÈT
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
LEP
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SÈT
1 - 3
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
MON
2 - 3
MON
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
MAR
26%
28%
46%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BEZ
3 - 1
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |