Nice II vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
HYE
2 - 4
NIC
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 1
SÈT
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
OLY
3 - 0
NIC
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ROD
1 - 3
NIC
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NIC
0 - 0
BEZ
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
MAR
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
LEP
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SÈT
1 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
BEZ
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |