Nice II vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
0 - 6
NIC
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 0
VAU
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
AGD
2 - 0
NIC
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 2
NIC
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NIC
4 - 0
BOR
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
FCM
31%
30%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
BAY
0 - 1
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
BEZ
40%
28%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
ROD
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |