Nice II vs Gallia Lucciana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
13º
13º
33
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
EUA
3 - 2
NIC
17%
19%
63%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NIC
0 - 1
GAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
NIC
29%
22%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 1
IST
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 4
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 1
CAN
35%
27%
38%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
3 - 0
MAR
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RSV
3 - 2
LUC
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 0
AJA
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LUC
0 - 1
DRA
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |