Nice II vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
13º
13º
30
2º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 71% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 4
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 1
NIC
53%
25%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 3
RSV
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 1
NIC
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NIC
4 - 2
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
IST
0 - 2
CAN
28%
27%
45%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
RSV
3 - 0
IST
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IST
1 - 0
AJA
39%
24%
36%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
1 - 1
IST
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
IST
2 - 1
MAR
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |