Nice II vs Hyères analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SÈT
3 - 2
NIC
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NIC
2 - 2
OLY
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
NIC
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NIC
3 - 1
ROD
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BEZ
3 - 1
NIC
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Hyères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
OLY
0 - 0
HYE
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
HYE
0 - 1
ROD
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 1
HYE
71%
18%
10%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
HYE
0 - 1
SAI
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LYO
0 - 1
HYE
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |