Nice II vs Grasse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
47.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
OLY
4 - 1
NIC
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
NIC
0 - 3
SAI
34%
25%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 1
NIC
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
NIC
0 - 1
CON
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 3
NIC
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 2
FCM
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
GRA
23%
26%
52%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
OLY
0 - 1
GRA
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 1
SAI
56%
24%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 1
GRA
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |