Nice II vs Grasse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 1
NIC
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 3
NIC
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 1
FEU
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FRE
3 - 2
NIC
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 1
SPO
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 1
GRA
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
GRA
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 1
AJA
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 2
AUB
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |