Nice II vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SÈT
1 - 1
NIC
44%
27%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
NIC
0 - 1
TAR
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
COL
2 - 2
NIC
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 2
SPO
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MGG
3 - 0
NIC
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 4
FRE
9%
19%
73%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 0
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SÈT
0 - 1
FRE
28%
28%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
FRE
3 - 1
BOU
20%
22%
58%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 2
ROD
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |