Nice II vs Sportive Fréjusienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
AND
2 - 1
NIC
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 0
SPO
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
VAU
1 - 0
NIC
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 0
NIC
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -3 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 0
AUB
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Sportive Fréjusienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 0
BOR
51%
22%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
FRE
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
AND
4 - 0
FRE
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 3
ESP
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
FEU
1 - 1
FRE
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |