Nice II vs Athlético Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
NIC
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 2
HYE
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 1
MAR
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
0 - 6
NIC
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 0
VAU
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CON
3 - 1
ROD
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FCM
2 - 1
CON
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
CAN
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LEP
0 - 3
CON
36%
25%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
CON
0 - 4
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |