Nice II vs Cannet Rocheville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
13º
13º
29
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 77.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LUC
2 - 0
NIC
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NIC
0 - 1
EUA
68%
16%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAL
54%
20%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
IST
1 - 0
NIC
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
NIC
67%
20%
14%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cannet Rocheville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SCR
0 - 2
CAN
25%
27%
49%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RSV
3 - 1
SCR
56%
20%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SCR
1 - 1
AJA
34%
27%
40%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
1 - 0
SCR
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SCR
3 - 2
MAR
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |