Nice II vs FC Borgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 2
NIC
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 0
ESP
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FEU
2 - 1
NIC
33%
27%
41%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 0
FRE
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
AND
2 - 1
NIC
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FC Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
BOR
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 5
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
4 - 0
BOR
48%
23%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BOR
2 - 0
FEU
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 0
BOR
51%
22%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |