Nice II vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 0
AGD
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 2
GRA
57%
23%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 1
NIC
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 3
NIC
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
AUB
0 - 2
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
AUB
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
AUB
3 - 1
FEU
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 0
AUB
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AUB
0 - 3
AND
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |