Nice II vs Cannes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
13º
13º
57
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 97.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RSV
2 - 5
NIC
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NIC
2 - 2
AJA
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
NIC
21%
20%
60%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NIC
4 - 5
MAR
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SCR
3 - 1
NIC
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAN
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 1
RSV
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
1 - 2
CAN
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 0
MAR
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 0
SCR
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |