Nice II vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CBL
4 - 1
NIC
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
NIC
1 - 1
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
1 - 5
NIC
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AUB
1 - 0
NIC
67%
19%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NIC
5 - 1
GEM
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
AJA
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
AJA
0 - 3
IST
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SCR
0 - 2
AJA
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CAN
0 - 0
AJA
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
AJA
1 - 0
VIL
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |