Nice II vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
NIC
0 - 1
VIL
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
NIC
4 - 1
USM
70%
16%
14%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
EUA
1 - 3
NIC
14%
17%
69%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
IST
1 - 0
NIC
62%
20%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 0
CON
8%
16%
76%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
AJA
4 - 2
ILE
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
LUC
1 - 1
AJA
58%
20%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 2
AUB
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 1
USM
77%
14%
10%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
AJA
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |