Nicaragua vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
63.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
IRN
1 - 0
NIC
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 89 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 1
NIC
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
NIC
0 - 1
GHA
11%
23%
67%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
SUR
2 - 1
NIC
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
NIC
4 - 0
BHS
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
SLV
1 - 4
PER
15%
27%
59%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
SLV
1 - 1
USA
5%
18%
77%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
GRD
2 - 2
SLV
14%
21%
65%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SLV
3 - 1
GRD
78%
16%
6%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SLV
3 - 2
PAN
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |