Central American Cup Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 2-5
Nicaragua vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1966 |
PAN
3 - 1
NIC
60%
18%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1950 |
NIC
1 - 11
ANT
90%
7%
3%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 1950 |
SLV
4 - 1
NIC
77%
13%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1950 |
NIC
2 - 4
HTI
58%
20%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
GTM
5 - 1
NIC
69%
16%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
USA
0 - 0
SLV
69%
19%
13%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
SLV
0 - 1
USA
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1989 |
SLV
0 - 0
TTO
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1989 |
TTO
2 - 0
SLV
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 1989 |
CRC
1 - 0
SLV
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |