WC Qual. CONCACAF Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Nicaragua vs Suriname analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
AIA
0 - 3
NIC
11%
18%
71%
|
48 | 5 | 43 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
5 - 0
AIA
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 5 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 2
SLV
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
HND
1 - 0
NIC
86%
10%
3%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
PAN
2 - 0
NIC
83%
13%
4%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2015 |
SUR
2 - 3
CUW
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
SUR
1 - 0
GUY
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
MTQ
0 - 0
SUR
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SUR
2 - 3
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
BRB
1 - 1
SUR
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |