Nicaragua vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
66.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
SUR
2 - 1
NIC
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
NIC
4 - 0
BHS
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
BHS
0 - 2
NIC
15%
18%
67%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
VCT
2 - 2
NIC
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NIC
2 - 1
TTO
16%
21%
63%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
3 - 0
GHA
88%
9%
3%
|
80 | 97 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NGA
2 - 0
GHA
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
2 - 0
NGA
34%
27%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 1
GHA
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 1
GHA
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |