Nicaragua vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.8%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.1%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.5%
87.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
15.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
19.9%
0-4
11%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.2%
-4
13.5%
0-5
6.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.4%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2007 |
NIC
4 - 2
BLZ
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
SLV
2 - 1
NIC
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2007 |
GTM
1 - 0
NIC
86%
10%
3%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
NIC
1 - 0
BLZ
68%
19%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2005 |
GTM
4 - 0
NIC
84%
11%
4%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
HND
1 - 1
PAN
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
CRC
3 - 1
HND
41%
22%
37%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
HND
1 - 1
DEN
22%
26%
52%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
HND
2 - 1
GTM
60%
24%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
GTM
2 - 3
HND
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |