Nicaragua vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
NIC
0 - 2
PAN
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
HND
3 - 0
NIC
88%
9%
3%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
SLV
1 - 0
NIC
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 0
NIC
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
GTM
6 - 1
NIC
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
PAN
1 - 0
HND
22%
23%
54%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
CHI
5 - 2
HND
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2000 |
ECU
1 - 3
HND
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
HND
3 - 0
NIC
88%
9%
3%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
HND
3 - 5
PER
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |