Nicaragua vs Dominica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
PAN
5 - 1
NIC
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 2
PAN
12%
20%
69%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DMA
0 - 2
NIC
33%
24%
44%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
CUB
2 - 1
NIC
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
CUB
1 - 1
NIC
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DMA
0 - 5
PAN
10%
18%
72%
|
41 | 81 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VCT
1 - 0
DMA
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DMA
0 - 2
NIC
33%
24%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
DMA
0 - 5
SUR
27%
23%
51%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
ATG
0 - 0
DMA
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |