Nicaragua vs Belize analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
HND
4 - 1
NIC
91%
8%
2%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
SLV
1 - 1
NIC
82%
12%
5%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
ANT
2 - 0
NIC
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 1
ANT
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 9
HND
3%
10%
88%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Belize
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BLZ
1 - 4
SLV
8%
20%
72%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
HND
2 - 1
BLZ
93%
6%
1%
|
45 | 88 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
MEX
7 - 0
BLZ
95%
4%
1%
|
45 | 93 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
BLZ
0 - 2
MEX
6%
17%
77%
|
45 | 93 | 48 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
HND
2 - 0
BLZ
94%
5%
1%
|
45 | 87 | 42 | 0 |